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U.S. House · Washington · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Washington House, district 8
Kim Schrier (Democrat, incumbent) against Spencer Meline (Republican).
Where they stand · 45 points apart
Meline is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Kim SchrierrecordSpencer Melineestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedSchrier$3.6MMeline$154kItemized, named donorsSchrier$2.2MMeline$57kNamed donorsSchrier1,847Meline36Itemized from WashingtonSchrier89%Meline100%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“I met with great kiddos and teachers, including a former patient of mine, at Snoqualmie Elementary School last week! Thanks for having me and showing me around.” Schrier · X post · Oct 19 · ↗
“Together, we can keep the American Dream within reach for working families.”
“I’m fighting to expand access to capital, modernize SBA lending” Meline · X post · Aug 26 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kim Schrier | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 96% | >99% | 93% | $4,232 | Open ↗ |
| Kim Schrier | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 97% | 100% | 97% | $15,010 | Open ↗ |
| Spencer Meline | Kalshi | Republican wins | <1% | 4% | 1% | $1,286 | Open ↗ |
| Spencer Meline | Polymarket | Republican wins | <1% | 3% | 2% | $13,889 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Washington ballot
All 9 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll