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U.S. House · Washington · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Washington House, district 2
Rick Larsen (Democrat, incumbent) against Edwin Feller (Republican).
Where they stand · 59 points apart
Feller is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Rick LarsenrecordEdwin Fellerestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedLarsen$2.6MFeller$9kItemized, named donorsLarsen$848kFeller$3kNamed donorsLarsen941Feller9Itemized from WashingtonLarsen69%Feller100%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“NSE stands ready, willing and able to be the homeport for the Navy’s next generation of frigates. It remains “The Sailor’s Choice,” and it should once again be the Pentagon’s choice for future ships. Read more:” Larsen · X post · Oct 16 · ↗
“repealing federal carbon taxes” Feller · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rick Larsen | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 95% | 98% | 98% | $713 | Open ↗ |
| Rick Larsen | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 94% | 97% | 94% | $13,257 | Open ↗ |
| Edwin Feller | Kalshi | Republican wins | 2% | 5% | 6% | $459 | Open ↗ |
| Edwin Feller | Polymarket | Republican wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | $19,356 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Washington ballot
All 9 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll