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U.S. House · Washington · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Washington House, district 3
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (Democrat, incumbent) against John Braun (Republican).
Where they stand · 40 points apart
Braun is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Marie Gluesenkamp PerezrecordJohn Braunestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedPerez$8.8MBraun$3.2MItemized, named donorsPerez$3.1MBraun$1.7MNamed donorsPerez2,909Braun1,210Itemized from WashingtonPerez33%Braun89%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marie Gluesenkamp Perez | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 90% | 91% | 91% | $76,485 | Open ↗ |
| Marie Gluesenkamp Perez | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 89% | 90% | 91% | $28,575 | Open ↗ |
| John Braun | Kalshi | Republican wins | 9% | 11% | 11% | $208,388 | Open ↗ |
| John Braun | Polymarket | Republican wins | 10% | 11% | 11% | $32,610 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Washington ballot
All 9 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll