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U.S. House · Washington · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Washington House, district 4
Amanda McKinney (Republican) against John Duresky (Democrat).
Where they stand · 66 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Amanda McKinneyestimateJohn Dureskyestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedMcKinney$1.3MDuresky$388kItemized, named donorsMcKinney$664kDuresky$248kNamed donorsMcKinney589Duresky344Itemized from WashingtonMcKinney71%Duresky96%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda McKinney | Kalshi | Republican wins | 88% | 90% | 89% | $28,288 | Open ↗ |
| Amanda McKinney | Polymarket | Republican wins | 89% | 91% | 89% | $37,395 | Open ↗ |
| John Duresky | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | $9,061 | Open ↗ |
| John Duresky | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 8% | 11% | 11% | $27,287 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Washington ballot
All 9 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll