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U.S. House · Washington · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Washington House, district 7
Pramila Jayapal (Democrat, incumbent) against Nirav Sheth (Republican).
Where they stand · 81 points apart
Sheth is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Pramila JayapalrecordNirav Shethestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedJayapal$2.9MSheth$12kItemized, named donorsJayapal$1.3MSheth$5kNamed donorsJayapal1,772Sheth2Itemized from WashingtonJayapal68%Sheth100%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“How about Trump’s 30,000 stock trades since returning to the White House? How about the crypto scams? This administration is beyond corrupt.” Jayapal · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
“Unity. Determination. Safety.”
“Investigate fraud, waste, and abuse in government spending.” Sheth · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pramila Jayapal | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 97% | 99% | 98% | $335 | Open ↗ |
| Pramila Jayapal | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 98% | 99% | 96% | $11,607 | Open ↗ |
| Nirav Sheth | Kalshi | Republican wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | $315 | Open ↗ |
| Nirav Sheth | Polymarket | Republican wins | 2% | 2% | 3% | $23,041 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Washington ballot
All 9 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll