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U.S. Senate · New Mexico · Nov 3 · 7 days out
New Mexico Senate
Ben Ray Lujan (Democrat, incumbent) against Larry Marker (Republican).
Where they stand · 57 points apart
Marker is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Ben Ray LujanrecordLarry Markerestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedLujan$6.4MMarker$92kItemized, named donorsLujan$1.8MMarker$75kNamed donorsLujan2,556Marker69Itemized from New MexicoLujan26%Marker99%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Ray Lujan | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 97% | 97% | 97% | $28,073 | Open ↗ |
| Ben Ray Lujan | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 97% | 99% | 98% | $21,665 | Open ↗ |
| Larry Marker | Kalshi | Republican wins | 3% | 3% | 3% | $93,669 | Open ↗ |
| Larry Marker | Polymarket | Republican wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | $11,364 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the New Mexico ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll