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U.S. House · New Mexico · Nov 3 · 7 days out
New Mexico House, district 2
Gabe Vasquez (Democrat, incumbent) against Greg Cunningham (Republican).
Where they stand · 55 points apart
Cunningham is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Gabe VasquezrecordGreg Cunninghamestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedVasquez$5.3MCunningham$2.4MItemized, named donorsVasquez$2.9MCunningham$1.2MNamed donorsVasquez2,427Cunningham829Itemized from New MexicoVasquez37%Cunningham86%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“INVEST IN NEW MEXICO'S FUTURE”
“End catch-and-release” Cunningham · X post · May 23 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Vasquez | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 91% | 91% | 91% | $18,050 | Open ↗ |
| Gabe Vasquez | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 92% | 92% | 91% | $42,882 | Open ↗ |
| Greg Cunningham | Kalshi | Republican wins | 9% | 10% | 9% | $49,252 | Open ↗ |
| Greg Cunningham | Polymarket | Republican wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | $37,385 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the New Mexico ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll