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U.S. House · New Mexico · Nov 3 · 7 days out
New Mexico House, district 1
Melanie Stansbury (Democrat, incumbent) against Didi Okpareke (Republican).
Where they stand
From their voting record.
Melanie Stansburyrecord
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedStansbury$1.7MOkpareke$100kItemized, named donorsStansbury$738kOkpareke$79kNamed donorsStansbury1,242Okpareke87Itemized from New MexicoStansbury70%Okpareke52%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Leading with Vision, Serving with Heart”
“Everything is on the line this election! That’s why we’re working to hold it down in NM and traveling the country to help win back the House. Because, what happens in every single one of these seats will affect EVERYONE!” Stansbury · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
“WORKING FOR NEW MEXICO”
“DEI for everybody else. Not for her job. ... Stop using race to scare people and keep a seat.” Okpareke · X post · Sep 18 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melanie Stansbury | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 96% | 97% | 96% | $3,135 | Open ↗ |
| Melanie Stansbury | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 95% | 97% | 95% | $21,457 | Open ↗ |
| Didi Okpareke | Kalshi | Republican wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | $3,151 | Open ↗ |
| Didi Okpareke | Polymarket | Republican wins | 3% | 5% | 3% | $24,320 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the New Mexico ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll