Governor · New Mexico · Nov 3 · 7 days out

New Mexico Governor

Deb Haaland (Democrat) against Gregg Hull (Republican).

Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 36

93%▲ 2 since April

vs.

Republican · challenger · estimate Right 29

7%▼ 2 since April

Party to win · Kalshi daily close, Oct 27All market contracts ▸

Where they stand · 66 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

Deb HaalandestimateGregg Hullestimate

Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart

Overall

3629

66 pts

Federal budget, taxes and spending

3333

65 pts ▸

Crime and justice

1829

47 pts ▸

Business, finance and labor

1823

5 pts ▸

Campaign sites and X

“Raise the minimum wage to a living wage.” Haaland · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

“And no, we won’t raise other taxes to make up the difference.” Hull · X post · Oct 13 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4

Candidate	Platform	Contract	Bid	Ask	Last	Volume
Deb Haaland	Kalshi	Democrat wins	93%	94%	93%	$55,513	Open ↗
Deb Haaland	Polymarket	Democrat wins	94%	95%	95%	$53,603	Open ↗
Gregg Hull	Kalshi	Republican wins	7%	7%	7%	$141,315	Open ↗
Gregg Hull	Polymarket	Republican wins	5%	6%	6%	$36,405	Open ↗

Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.

Also on the New Mexico ballot

Senate

House · NM-1

House · NM-2

House · NM-3

Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll