← All races
U.S. House · New Mexico · Nov 3 · 7 days out
New Mexico House, district 3
Teresa Leger Fernandez (Democrat, incumbent) against Martin Zamora (Republican).
Where they stand · 69 points apart
Zamora is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Teresa Leger FernandezrecordMartin Zamoraestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedFernandez$1.6MZamora$599kItemized, named donorsFernandez$853kZamora$533kNamed donorsFernandez692Zamora301Itemized from New MexicoFernandez70%Zamora96%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teresa Leger Fernandez | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 95% | 96% | 95% | $1,640 | Open ↗ |
| Teresa Leger Fernandez | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 95% | 97% | 97% | $23,857 | Open ↗ |
| Martin Zamora | Kalshi | Republican wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | $7,027 | Open ↗ |
| Martin Zamora | Polymarket | Republican wins | 2% | 4% | 3% | $30,211 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the New Mexico ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll