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U.S. Senate · Mississippi · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Mississippi Senate

Cindy Hyde-Smith (Republican, incumbent) against Scott Colom (Democrat).

Cindy Hyde-Smith
Republican · incumbent · record Rt-lean 20
89%▼ 4 since April
vs.
Scott Colom
Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 30
11%▲ 3 since April
100%90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%MAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTTODAY
100%75%50%25%0%MAYJUNJULAUGSEPTODAY
Party to win · Kalshi daily close, Oct 27All market contracts ▸
Also running

Where they stand · 50 points apart

Colom is an estimate

Solid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.

Cindy Hyde-SmithrecordScott Colomestimate
Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart
Overall
2030
50 pts

Money

FEC to Sep 30
RaisedHyde-Smith
$4.5MColom
$3.9MItemized, named donorsHyde-Smith
$2.2MColom
$2.3MNamed donorsHyde-Smith
1,553Colom
2,148Itemized from MississippiHyde-Smith
61%Colom
28%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“A ROCK-SOLID CONSERVATIVE FOR MISSISSIPPI”

“Nothing like a fall Saturday in The Grove! Always good to be back in Oxford visiting with friends and enjoying game day. Vote Cindy on November 3rd! Hotty Toddy!” Hyde-Smith · X post · Oct 18 · ↗

“MISSISSIPPI MATTERS.”

“tariffs are taxes, and working families pay the price.” Colom · X post · Feb 9 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
Cindy Hyde-SmithKalshiRepublican wins88%89%89%$341,382Open ↗
Cindy Hyde-SmithPolymarketRepublican wins86%87%87%$221,717Open ↗
Scott ColomKalshiDemocrat wins10%11%11%$605,170Open ↗
Scott ColomPolymarketDemocrat wins13%14%14%$169,410Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Mississippi ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll