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U.S. House · Mississippi · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Mississippi House, district 1
Trent Kelly (Republican, incumbent) against Cliff Johnson (Democrat).
Where they stand · 45 points apart
Johnson is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Trent KellyrecordCliff Johnsonestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedKelly$1.3MJohnson$809kItemized, named donorsKelly$519kJohnson$540kNamed donorsKelly372Johnson624Itemized from MississippiKelly54%Johnson67%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Great to see members and guests of the Ripley Rotary Club today and discuss our work on their behalf in Washington, D.C.” Kelly · X post · Oct 13 · ↗
“Fighting for our Mississippi values”
“successfully fought to end the unconstitutional practice of locking poor Mississippians up for months and years without a lawyer” Johnson · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Kelly | Kalshi | Republican wins | 95% | 96% | 96% | $16,811 | Open ↗ |
| Trent Kelly | Polymarket | Republican wins | 95% | 97% | 97% | $85,458 | Open ↗ |
| Cliff Johnson | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 2% | 5% | 5% | $1,224 | Open ↗ |
| Cliff Johnson | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 2% | 5% | 2% | $32,763 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Mississippi ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll