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U.S. House · Mississippi · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Mississippi House, district 4
Mike Ezell (Republican, incumbent) against Jeffrey Hulum (Democrat).
Where they stand · 47 points apart
Hulum is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Mike EzellrecordJeffrey Hulumestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedEzell$1.1MHulum$60kItemized, named donorsEzell$452kHulum$44kNamed donorsEzell345Hulum52Itemized from MississippiEzell70%Hulum71%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Strong Leadership”
“Thank you, #MS04!! Let’s keep up the momentum heading into November!” Ezell · X post · Mar 11 · ↗
“Mississippi Won't Wait”
“I will back policies that strengthen community policing, improve training, and support victims while focusing on prevention and rehabilitation.” Hulum · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Ezell | Kalshi | Republican wins | 96% | 97% | 96% | $9,531 | Open ↗ |
| Mike Ezell | Polymarket | Republican wins | 95% | 96% | 95% | $25,782 | Open ↗ |
| Jeffrey Hulum | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 2% | 5% | 5% | $1,160 | Open ↗ |
| Jeffrey Hulum | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 3% | 5% | 4% | $15,437 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Mississippi ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll