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U.S. House · Mississippi · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Mississippi House, district 2
Bennie Thompson (Democrat, incumbent) against Ron Eller (Republican).
Where they stand · 62 points apart
Eller is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Bennie ThompsonrecordRon Ellerestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedThompson$928kEller$64kItemized, named donorsThompson$204kEller$53kNamed donorsThompson173Eller58Itemized from MississippiThompson16%Eller36%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“He's the one we need”
“Trump has always sold Americans false promises while putting himself first. He has never made the best interests of the American people his priority. Shame on him!” Thompson · X post · Oct 3 · ↗
“abortion is to be done only to save the life of the mother” Eller · Campaign site · Invalid Date · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennie Thompson | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 97% | 97% | 97% | $16,500 | Open ↗ |
| Bennie Thompson | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 96% | 98% | 98% | $26,905 | Open ↗ |
| Ron Eller | Kalshi | Republican wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | $22,154 | Open ↗ |
| Ron Eller | Polymarket | Republican wins | 1% | 4% | 2% | $18,971 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Mississippi ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll