U.S. House · Missouri · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Missouri House, district 6

Chris Stigall (Republican) against Josh Smead (Democrat).

Chris Stigall

Republican · challenger · estimate Right 37

95%party to win

vs.

Josh Smead

Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 32

4%party to win

Where they stand · 69 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

Chris StigallestimateJosh Smeadestimate

Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart

Overall

3732

69 pts

Immigration

3843

80 pts ▸

Federal budget, taxes and spending

4333

75 pts ▸

Civil rights, gender and religion

4133

73 pts ▸

Education

3535

70 pts ▸

Guns

4323

65 pts ▸

Health care

2833

60 pts ▸

Energy, environment, land and agriculture

3024

54 pts ▸

Trade and industrial policy

2323

45 pts ▸

Crime and justice

2818

45 pts ▸

Money

FEC to Sep 30

RaisedStigall

$969kSmead

$130kItemized, named donorsStigall

$672kSmead

$57kNamed donorsStigall

312Smead

121Itemized from MissouriStigall

68%Smead

87%

The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“Our rights come from God.” Stigall · X post · Aug 13 · ↗

“Family. Freedom. Future.”

“Work to retain Medicaid, Medicare and SNAP” Smead · Campaign site · Invalid Date · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 2

Candidate	Platform	Contract	Bid	Ask	Last	Volume
Chris Stigall	Polymarket	Republican wins	94%	97%	95%	$27,596	Open ↗
Josh Smead	Polymarket	Democrat wins	4%	6%	4%	$32,387	Open ↗

Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.

Also on the Missouri ballot

All 7 →

House · MO-1

Bell (D) 99% · Berry (R) 2%

House · MO-2

Wagner (R) 62% · Wellman (D) 38%

House · MO-3

Onder (R) 97% · Mann (D) 3%

House · MO-4

Alford (R) 95% · Herrera (D) 2%

House · MO-5

Cleaver (D) 95% · Brattin (R) 3%

House · MO-7

Burlison (R) 96% · Hesketh (D) 3%

Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll