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U.S. House · Missouri · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Missouri House, district 2

Ann Wagner (Republican, incumbent) against Fred "FP" Wellman (Democrat).

Ann Wagner
Republican · incumbent · record Rt-lean 18
62%party to win
vs.
Fred "FP" Wellman
Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 28
38%party to win

Where they stand · 45 points apart

Wellman is an estimate

Solid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.

Ann WagnerrecordFred "FP" Wellmanestimate
Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart
Overall
1828
45 pts

Money

FEC to Sep 30
RaisedWagner
$4.1MWellman
$2MItemized, named donorsWagner
$1.5MWellman
$1.1MNamed donorsWagner
1,671Wellman
1,323Itemized from MissouriWagner
52%Wellman
59%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“Ann Wagner signs went back up in all four counties yesterday! You can get a smaller one for your yard and sign up to volunteer at” Wagner · X post · Oct 3 · ↗

“We're Not Done Yet”

“Fred will fight to reverse the cuts” Wellman · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 2
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
Ann WagnerPolymarketRepublican wins62%63%62%$49,654Open ↗
Fred "FP" WellmanPolymarketDemocrat wins37%39%38%$67,771Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Missouri ballot
All 7 →
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll