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U.S. House · Missouri · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Missouri House, district 5

Emanuel Cleaver (Democrat, incumbent) against Rick Brattin (Republican).

Emanuel Cleaver
Democrat · incumbent · record Left 29
95%party to win
vs.
Rick Brattin
Republican · challenger · estimate Right 40
3%party to win

Where they stand · 69 points apart

Brattin is an estimate

Solid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.

Emanuel CleaverrecordRick Brattinestimate
Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart
Overall
2940
69 pts

Money

FEC to Sep 30
RaisedCleaver
$1.7MBrattin
$457kItemized, named donorsCleaver
$443kBrattin
$360kNamed donorsCleaver
621Brattin
196Itemized from MissouriCleaver
61%Brattin
80%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“The president’s extreme mass deportation agenda is disgraceful. Those who are willing to put themselves in harm’s way to protect our freedoms should not have their families ripped apart.” Cleaver · X post · Oct 19 · ↗

“Marine Veteran. Small Business Owner. Proven Conservative Leader.”

“fought to ban sanctuary cities” Brattin · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 2
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
Emanuel CleaverPolymarketDemocrat wins95%96%95%$35,914Open ↗
Rick BrattinPolymarketRepublican wins3%4%3%$44,441Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Missouri ballot
All 7 →
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll