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U.S. House · Missouri · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Missouri House, district 5
Emanuel Cleaver (Democrat, incumbent) against Rick Brattin (Republican).
Where they stand · 69 points apart
Brattin is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Emanuel CleaverrecordRick Brattinestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedCleaver$1.7MBrattin$457kItemized, named donorsCleaver$443kBrattin$360kNamed donorsCleaver621Brattin196Itemized from MissouriCleaver61%Brattin80%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“The president’s extreme mass deportation agenda is disgraceful. Those who are willing to put themselves in harm’s way to protect our freedoms should not have their families ripped apart.” Cleaver · X post · Oct 19 · ↗
“Marine Veteran. Small Business Owner. Proven Conservative Leader.”
“fought to ban sanctuary cities” Brattin · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 2
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emanuel Cleaver | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 95% | 96% | 95% | $35,914 | Open ↗ |
| Rick Brattin | Polymarket | Republican wins | 3% | 4% | 3% | $44,441 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Missouri ballot
All 7 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll

