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U.S. House · Michigan · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Michigan House, district 5
Tim Walberg (Republican, incumbent) against Christian Vukasovich (Democrat).
Where they stand · 42 points apart
Vukasovich is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Tim WalbergrecordChristian Vukasovichestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedWalberg$2.2MVukasovich$142kItemized, named donorsWalberg$967kVukasovich$85kNamed donorsWalberg635Vukasovich130Itemized from MichiganWalberg42%Vukasovich95%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Reminder: The deadline for students to submit their app for the Congressional App Challenge is just a week away! Learn more here:” Walberg · X post · Oct 19 · ↗
“Common Sense. Community. Caring. A Voice with Your Values.”
“Interview ... covering healthcare, Medicare for All ...” Vukasovich · Campaign site · Oct 1 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Walberg | Kalshi | Republican wins | 92% | 93% | 93% | $4,501 | Open ↗ |
| Tim Walberg | Polymarket | Republican wins | 93% | 93% | 93% | $25,960 | Open ↗ |
| Christian Vukasovich | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | $9,641 | Open ↗ |
| Christian Vukasovich | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 6% | 7% | 7% | $21,221 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Michigan ballot
All 14 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll