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U.S. House · Michigan · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Michigan House, district 9
Lisa McClain (Republican, incumbent) against Ray Pooley (Democrat).
Where they stand · 46 points apart
Pooley is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Lisa McClainrecordRay Pooleyestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedMcClain$6MPooley$21kItemized, named donorsMcClain$2MPooley$9kNamed donorsMcClain2,786Pooley13Itemized from MichiganMcClain13%Pooley100%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisa McClain | Kalshi | Republican wins | 95% | 98% | 96% | $5,347 | Open ↗ |
| Lisa McClain | Polymarket | Republican wins | 95% | 97% | 94% | $27,380 | Open ↗ |
| Ray Pooley | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 2% | 5% | 5% | $1,227 | Open ↗ |
| Ray Pooley | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 3% | 5% | 5% | $10,914 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Michigan ballot
All 14 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll