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U.S. House · Michigan · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Michigan House, district 12
Rashida Tlaib (Democrat, incumbent) against James Hooper (Republican).
Where they stand · 86 points apart
Hooper is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Rashida TlaibrecordJames Hooperestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedTlaib$3.2MHooper$1kItemized, named donorsTlaib$1.7MHooper$550Named donorsTlaib2,477Hooper2Itemized from MichiganTlaib9%Hooper100%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“The 2nd Amendment is non-negotiable. The People are the repository of this Right. I am a strong proponent of the Un-infringeable nature of the Second Amendment.” Hooper · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashida Tlaib | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 97% | 99% | 98% | $508 | Open ↗ |
| Rashida Tlaib | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 98% | 98% | 98% | $21,996 | Open ↗ |
| James Hooper | Kalshi | Republican wins | 1% | 3% | 2% | $1,710 | Open ↗ |
| James Hooper | Polymarket | Republican wins | <1% | 2% | 1% | $19,418 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Michigan ballot
All 14 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll