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U.S. House · Michigan · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Michigan House, district 11
Jeremy Moss (Democrat) against Ethan Baker (Republican).
Where they stand
EstimatesRead from the campaign’s own words; no voting record yet.
Jeremy Mossestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedMoss$1.8MBaker$179kItemized, named donorsMoss$1.4MBaker$167kNamed donorsMoss938Baker101Itemized from MichiganMoss62%Baker91%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Prohibit warrantless raids of sensitive locations like schools” Moss · X post · Invalid Date · ↗
“A little more human. A lot more united.”
“Maybe it’s time we found our way back to the same table. ❤️💙💜🇺🇸 Baker for Congress — Official Commercial Release Watch now. Take a seat. All are welcome. #BakerForCongress #ListenLeadUnite #TeamBaker #MI11 #Election2026” Baker · X post · Oct 19 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Moss | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 95% | 98% | 98% | $1,169 | Open ↗ |
| Jeremy Moss | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 95% | 97% | 97% | $59,418 | Open ↗ |
| Ethan Baker | Kalshi | Republican wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | $1,270 | Open ↗ |
| Ethan Baker | Polymarket | Republican wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | $22,597 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Michigan ballot
All 14 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll

