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U.S. House · Michigan · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Michigan House, district 11

Jeremy Moss (Democrat) against Ethan Baker (Republican).

Jeremy Moss
Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 33
97%party to win
vs.
Ethan Baker
Republican · challenger · no positions yet
3%party to win

Where they stand

Estimates

Read from the campaign’s own words; no voting record yet.

Jeremy Mossestimate
IssueLeftCenterRight
Overall
33

Money

FEC to Sep 30
RaisedMoss
$1.8MBaker
$179kItemized, named donorsMoss
$1.4MBaker
$167kNamed donorsMoss
938Baker
101Itemized from MichiganMoss
62%Baker
91%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“Prohibit warrantless raids of sensitive locations like schools” Moss · X post · Invalid Date · ↗

“A little more human. A lot more united.”

“Maybe it’s time we found our way back to the same table. ❤️💙💜🇺🇸 Baker for Congress — Official Commercial Release Watch now. Take a seat. All are welcome. #BakerForCongress #ListenLeadUnite #TeamBaker #MI11 #Election2026” Baker · X post · Oct 19 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
Jeremy MossKalshiDemocrat wins95%98%98%$1,169Open ↗
Jeremy MossPolymarketDemocrat wins95%97%97%$59,418Open ↗
Ethan BakerKalshiRepublican wins2%4%4%$1,270Open ↗
Ethan BakerPolymarketRepublican wins2%3%3%$22,597Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Michigan ballot
All 14 →
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll