← All races
U.S. House · Kentucky · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Kentucky House, district 6
Ralph Alvarado (Republican) against Zach Dembo (Democrat).
Where they stand · 50 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Ralph AlvaradoestimateZach Demboestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedAlvarado$2.2MDembo$2.9MItemized, named donorsAlvarado$1.5MDembo$2.3MNamed donorsAlvarado1,011Dembo1,727Itemized from KentuckyAlvarado57%Dembo65%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ralph Alvarado | Kalshi | Republican wins | 53% | 54% | 53% | $97,305 | Open ↗ |
| Ralph Alvarado | Polymarket | Republican wins | 52% | 54% | 54% | $38,524 | Open ↗ |
| Zach Dembo | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 46% | 47% | 47% | $90,044 | Open ↗ |
| Zach Dembo | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 45% | 48% | 48% | $62,425 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Kentucky ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll