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U.S. House · Kentucky · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Kentucky House, district 1
James Comer (Republican, incumbent) against John "Drew" Williams (Democrat).
Where they stand · 60 points apart
Williams is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
James ComerrecordJohn "Drew" Williamsestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedComer$2.3MWilliams$211kItemized, named donorsComer$886kWilliams$77kNamed donorsComer1,403Williams159Itemized from KentuckyComer7%Williams74%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Holding Washington, D.C. Accountable to the American People”
“All Rep. Ilhan Omar has to do is be transparent. Why is that so hard?” Comer · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
“IT'S GOING TO TAKE ALL OF US TO MAKE THE CHANGE WE WANT TO SEE IN THE WORLD!”
“Expands voluntary conservation payments for cover crops, rotational grazing, erosion control, and stream buffers.” Williams · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Comer | Kalshi | Republican wins | 96% | 98% | 98% | $2,381 | Open ↗ |
| James Comer | Polymarket | Republican wins | 97% | 98% | 97% | $33,997 | Open ↗ |
| John "Drew" Williams | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 2% | 2% | 3% | $2,690 | Open ↗ |
| John "Drew" Williams | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | $16,867 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Kentucky ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll