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U.S. House · Kentucky · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Kentucky House, district 4
Ed Gallrein (Republican) against Melissa Strange (Democrat).
Where they stand · 60 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Ed GallreinestimateMelissa Strangeestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedGallrein$4MStrange$146kItemized, named donorsGallrein$3.2MStrange$102kNamed donorsGallrein2,258Strange95Itemized from KentuckyGallrein5%Strange61%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ed Gallrein | Kalshi | Republican wins | 95% | 96% | 95% | $17,272 | Open ↗ |
| Ed Gallrein | Polymarket | Republican wins | 94% | 97% | 97% | $30,395 | Open ↗ |
| Melissa Strange | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 4% | 4% | 4% | $34,260 | Open ↗ |
| Melissa Strange | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 3% | 6% | 3% | $17,145 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Kentucky ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll