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U.S. House · Kentucky · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Kentucky House, district 3
Morgan McGarvey (Democrat, incumbent) against Maria Teresa Rodriguez (Republican).
Where they stand
From their voting record.
Morgan McGarveyrecord
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedMcGarvey$2MRodriguez$38kItemized, named donorsMcGarvey$851kRodriguez$28kNamed donorsMcGarvey783Rodriguez26Itemized from KentuckyMcGarvey79%Rodriguez78%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“A Progressive Champion.”
“TODAY is the last day to request an absentee ballot, and early voting is only a few days away. Now is a great time to make sure you've got all the info you need and make a plan to vote!” McGarvey · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan McGarvey | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 96% | 98% | 98% | $802 | Open ↗ |
| Morgan McGarvey | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 96% | 98% | 96% | $20,120 | Open ↗ |
| Maria Teresa Rodriguez | Kalshi | Republican wins | 2% | 4% | 3% | $3,157 | Open ↗ |
| Maria Teresa Rodriguez | Polymarket | Republican wins | 1% | 3% | 2% | $28,253 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Kentucky ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll