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U.S. House · Kentucky · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Kentucky House, district 5
Hal Rogers (Republican, incumbent) against Ned Pillersdorf (Democrat).
Where they stand
Nobody in this race has a voting record yet, and the campaigns have not said enough to place them.
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedRogers$973kPillersdorf$368kItemized, named donorsRogers$444kPillersdorf$133kNamed donorsRogers314Pillersdorf159Itemized from KentuckyRogers61%Pillersdorf71%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“EASTERN KENTUCKY'S CHAMPION”
“Called on FEMA and the Army Corps to speed relief and flood-control work” Rogers · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
“I intend to campaign on rural issues that include the expansion of healthcare access” Pillersdorf · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hal Rogers | Kalshi | Republican wins | 98% | 99% | 98% | $403 | Open ↗ |
| Hal Rogers | Polymarket | Republican wins | 97% | 98% | 97% | $39,989 | Open ↗ |
| Ned Pillersdorf | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 1% | 3% | 1% | $2,109 | Open ↗ |
| Ned Pillersdorf | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 1% | 3% | 3% | $28,626 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Kentucky ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll