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U.S. House · Indiana · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Indiana House, district 6
Jefferson Shreve (Republican, incumbent) against Cinde Wirth (Democrat).
Where they stand · 51 points apart
Wirth is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Jefferson ShreverecordCinde Wirthestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedShreve$2.5MWirth$86kItemized, named donorsShreve$136kWirth$29kNamed donorsShreve70Wirth19Itemized from IndianaShreve55%Wirth100%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Law. Order.”
“Mom, my sister, and I stopped off I-70 @WarmGlowCandle in Centerville for coffee. Predictably, Mom and my sister left with bags full of fall candles. I should’ve seen that coming.” Shreve · X post · Oct 12 · ↗
“Hoosiers in the 6th District deserve a representative in Congress who will stand strong for our community.”
“Expand and Protect Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid” Wirth · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferson Shreve | Kalshi | Republican wins | 97% | 98% | 98% | $1,724 | Open ↗ |
| Jefferson Shreve | Polymarket | Republican wins | 96% | 97% | 97% | $24,529 | Open ↗ |
| Cinde Wirth | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | $677 | Open ↗ |
| Cinde Wirth | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 3% | 4% | 3% | $13,297 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Indiana ballot
All 8 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll