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U.S. House · Indiana · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Indiana House, district 5
Victoria Spartz (Republican, incumbent) against JD Ford (Democrat).
Where they stand · 58 points apart
Ford is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Victoria SpartzrecordJD Fordestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedSpartz$2.1MFord$1.3MItemized, named donorsSpartz$830kFord$942kNamed donorsSpartz999Ford1,100Itemized from IndianaSpartz43%Ford90%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“LESS GOVERNMENT. MORE FREEDOM.”
“Spartz Campaign Reports More Sign Theft, Trespassing, and Lawlessness -” Spartz · X post · Oct 15 · ↗
“We can't AFFORD politics as usual.”
“Protect a woman’s right to make her own healthcare decisions by codifying Roe v. Wade into federal law.” Ford · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Spartz | Kalshi | Republican wins | 79% | 81% | 79% | $96,185 | Open ↗ |
| Victoria Spartz | Polymarket | Republican wins | 77% | 80% | 80% | $25,644 | Open ↗ |
| JD Ford | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 19% | 21% | 21% | $51,628 | Open ↗ |
| JD Ford | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 20% | 22% | 18% | $31,133 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Indiana ballot
All 8 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll