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U.S. House · Indiana · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Indiana House, district 4
Jim Baird (Republican, incumbent) against Drew Cox (Democrat).
Where they stand · 34 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Jim BairdestimateDrew Coxestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedBaird$582kCox$54kItemized, named donorsBaird$94kCox$29kNamed donorsBaird98Cox50Itemized from IndianaBaird75%Cox71%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“By prioritizing civilian protection, we can help lay the groundwork for a more stable and prosperous Sudan.” Baird · X post · Oct 16 · ↗
“Indiana deserves leaders who will put citizens interests first.”
“He will fight to pass the Equality Act, as well as to codify Roe V. Wade.” Cox · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Baird | Kalshi | Republican wins | 94% | 95% | 95% | $3,387 | Open ↗ |
| Jim Baird | Polymarket | Republican wins | 94% | 96% | 96% | $13,033 | Open ↗ |
| Drew Cox | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | $4,233 | Open ↗ |
| Drew Cox | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 4% | 6% | 4% | $36,360 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Indiana ballot
All 8 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll