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U.S. House · Indiana · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Indiana House, district 1
Frank Mrvan Jr. (Democrat, incumbent) against Barb Regnitz (Republican).
Where they stand · 51 points apart
Regnitz is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Frank Mrvan Jr.recordBarb Regnitzestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedMrvan$3MRegnitz$2.7MItemized, named donorsMrvan$1.3MRegnitz$237kNamed donorsMrvan1,137Regnitz202Itemized from IndianaMrvan43%Regnitz83%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Thank you to the Gary Crusader for your endorsement and kind words of support: “Congressman Mrvan is the only candidate seeking office who has supported policies to benefit our community.”” Mrvan · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
“End the cycle of catch-and-release policies that put offenders back on the streets.” Regnitz · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Mrvan Jr. | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 96% | 97% | 98% | $10,451 | Open ↗ |
| Frank Mrvan Jr. | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 95% | 97% | 97% | $11,494 | Open ↗ |
| Barb Regnitz | Kalshi | Republican wins | 2% | 4% | 3% | $21,068 | Open ↗ |
| Barb Regnitz | Polymarket | Republican wins | 1% | 3% | 2% | $12,938 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Indiana ballot
All 8 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll

