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U.S. House · Indiana · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Indiana House, district 1

Frank Mrvan Jr. (Democrat, incumbent) against Barb Regnitz (Republican).

Frank Mrvan Jr.
Democrat · incumbent · record L-lean 16
97%party to win
vs.
Barb Regnitz
Republican · challenger · estimate Right 35
3%party to win

Where they stand · 51 points apart

Regnitz is an estimate

Solid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.

Frank Mrvan Jr.recordBarb Regnitzestimate
Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart
Overall
1635
51 pts

Money

FEC to Sep 30
RaisedMrvan
$3MRegnitz
$2.7MItemized, named donorsMrvan
$1.3MRegnitz
$237kNamed donorsMrvan
1,137Regnitz
202Itemized from IndianaMrvan
43%Regnitz
83%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“Thank you to the Gary Crusader for your endorsement and kind words of support: “Congressman Mrvan is the only candidate seeking office who has supported policies to benefit our community.”” Mrvan · X post · Oct 20 · ↗

“End the cycle of catch-and-release policies that put offenders back on the streets.” Regnitz · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
Frank Mrvan Jr.KalshiDemocrat wins96%97%98%$10,451Open ↗
Frank Mrvan Jr.PolymarketDemocrat wins95%97%97%$11,494Open ↗
Barb RegnitzKalshiRepublican wins2%4%3%$21,068Open ↗
Barb RegnitzPolymarketRepublican wins1%3%2%$12,938Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Indiana ballot
All 8 →
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll