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U.S. House · Indiana · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Indiana House, district 3
Marlin Stutzman (Republican, incumbent) against Kelly Thompson (Democrat).
Where they stand · 63 points apart
Thompson is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Marlin StutzmanrecordKelly Thompsonestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedStutzman$959kThompson$309kItemized, named donorsStutzman$287kThompson$243kNamed donorsStutzman242Thompson4,056Itemized from IndianaStutzman58%Thompson67%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“🇺🇸🇺🇸 @ACGOP Bean Dinner” Stutzman · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
“RUNNING LIKE A MOTHER! The game is rigged, the rules are stacked against you and me, but they know one thing to be true, when we all fight together, we win!”
“We will end American weapons transfers and military assistance used to carry out the destruction of Gaza” Thompson · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlin Stutzman | Kalshi | Republican wins | 95% | 96% | 96% | $561 | Open ↗ |
| Marlin Stutzman | Polymarket | Republican wins | 95% | 96% | 95% | $4,886 | Open ↗ |
| Kelly Thompson | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 4% | 6% | 4% | $821 | Open ↗ |
| Kelly Thompson | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 4% | 6% | 4% | $42,518 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Indiana ballot
All 8 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll