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U.S. House · Connecticut · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Connecticut House, district 5
Jahana Hayes (Democrat / Working Families, incumbent) against Chris Shea (Republican).
Where they stand · 68 points apart
Shea is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Jahana HayesrecordChris Sheaestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedHayes$1.7MShea$431kItemized, named donorsHayes$590kShea$256kNamed donorsHayes749Shea249Itemized from ConnecticutHayes34%Shea63%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Leaving no one behind”
“In-person early voting starts today. Make your voting plan and get ready to vote. Check your registration or find your early voting polling location by visiting” Hayes · X post · Oct 19 · ↗
“Lowering Costs. Growing Wages. Protecting America.”
“Chris Shea will fight to stop illegal immigration” Shea · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahana Hayes | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 95% | 97% | 97% | $6,444 | Open ↗ |
| Jahana Hayes | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 96% | 97% | 97% | $8,322 | Open ↗ |
| Chris Shea | Kalshi | Republican wins | 2% | 3% | 2% | $2,438 | Open ↗ |
| Chris Shea | Polymarket | Republican wins | 2% | 3% | 2% | $3,814 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Connecticut ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll