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Governor · Connecticut · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Connecticut Governor
Ned Lamont (Democrat / Working Families, incumbent) against Ryan Fazio (Republican / Independent Party). Fazio is down 6 points on the markets since April.
Where they stand · 71 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Ned LamontestimateRyan Fazioestimate
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ned Lamont | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 96% | 97% | 97% | $24,743 | Open ↗ |
| Ned Lamont | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 97% | 97% | 97% | $5,784 | Open ↗ |
| Ryan Fazio | Kalshi | Republican wins | 3% | 4% | 3% | $98,576 | Open ↗ |
| Ryan Fazio | Polymarket | Republican wins | 3% | 3% | 3% | $4,133 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Connecticut ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll