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U.S. House · Connecticut · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Connecticut House, district 4
Jim Himes (Democrat, incumbent) against Michael Goldstein (Republican).
Where they stand · 55 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Jim HimesestimateMichael Goldsteinestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedHimes$1.7MGoldstein$58kItemized, named donorsHimes$469kGoldstein$29kNamed donorsHimes323Goldstein26Itemized from ConnecticutHimes50%Goldstein32%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“A Fighter for the People of Connecticut's 4th District.”
“Developing high-speed rail projects and connecting affordable housing to transit” Himes · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
“Put A Doctor In The House”
“Education & Jobs Promote school choice” Goldstein · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Himes | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 97% | 98% | 98% | $1,673 | Open ↗ |
| Jim Himes | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 96% | 98% | 96% | $22,631 | Open ↗ |
| Michael Goldstein | Kalshi | Republican wins | 2% | 3% | 6% | $110 | Open ↗ |
| Michael Goldstein | Polymarket | Republican wins | 1% | 3% | 2% | $26,322 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Connecticut ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll