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U.S. House · Connecticut · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Connecticut House, district 1
Luke Bronin (Democrat) against Amy "Doc" Chai (Republican).
Where they stand · 69 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Luke BroninestimateAmy "Doc" Chaiestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedBronin$3.7MChai$21kItemized, named donorsBronin$3.5MChai$480Named donorsBronin2,090Chai1Itemized from ConnecticutBronin58%Chai100%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Bronin | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 97% | 99% | 96% | $5,169 | Open ↗ |
| Luke Bronin | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 97% | 99% | 97% | $3,669 | Open ↗ |
| Amy "Doc" Chai | Kalshi | Republican wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | $807 | Open ↗ |
| Amy "Doc" Chai | Polymarket | Republican wins | 2% | 2% | 2% | $16,604 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Connecticut ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll