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U.S. House · Connecticut · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Connecticut House, district 2

Joe Courtney (Democrat, incumbent) against George Austin (Republican / Independent Party).

Joe Courtney
Democrat · incumbent · record Left 23
97%party to win
vs.
George Austin
Republican / Independent Party · challenger · estimate Right 32
2%party to win

Where they stand · 55 points apart

Austin is an estimate

Solid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.

Joe CourtneyrecordGeorge Austinestimate
Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart
Overall
2332
55 pts

Money

FEC to Sep 30
RaisedCourtney
$924kAustin
$315kItemized, named donorsCourtney
$286kAustin
$29kNamed donorsCourtney
449Austin
53Itemized from ConnecticutCourtney
73%Austin
92%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“I will never stop fighting for eastern Connecticut.”

“I'm Not One of Them. I'm One of You.”

“frustration over Connecticut's policy on granting documentation to the undocumented.” Austin · X post · Sep 2 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
Joe CourtneyKalshiDemocrat wins98%>99%99%$2,781Open ↗
Joe CourtneyPolymarketDemocrat wins97%99%97%$9,510Open ↗
George AustinKalshiRepublican wins<1%3%3%$1,165Open ↗
George AustinPolymarketRepublican wins1%3%2%$9,350Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Connecticut ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll