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U.S. House · Connecticut · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Connecticut House, district 2
Joe Courtney (Democrat, incumbent) against George Austin (Republican / Independent Party).
Where they stand · 55 points apart
Austin is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Joe CourtneyrecordGeorge Austinestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedCourtney$924kAustin$315kItemized, named donorsCourtney$286kAustin$29kNamed donorsCourtney449Austin53Itemized from ConnecticutCourtney73%Austin92%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“I will never stop fighting for eastern Connecticut.”
“I'm Not One of Them. I'm One of You.”
“frustration over Connecticut's policy on granting documentation to the undocumented.” Austin · X post · Sep 2 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Courtney | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 98% | >99% | 99% | $2,781 | Open ↗ |
| Joe Courtney | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 97% | 99% | 97% | $9,510 | Open ↗ |
| George Austin | Kalshi | Republican wins | <1% | 3% | 3% | $1,165 | Open ↗ |
| George Austin | Polymarket | Republican wins | 1% | 3% | 2% | $9,350 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Connecticut ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll

