
Larry Rhoden
Candidate · Governor · South Dakota
Republican · Incumbent98%
Party to win · Kalshi, Oct 27, 2026
▲ 1 pts since April
Running for
OfficeGovernor
SeatSouth Dakota, statewide
AgainstDan Ahlers (D)
ElectionNov 3, 2026 · 7 days
StandingIncumbent
BallotDirectory listing
Links
Websitegovernorlarryrhoden.com ↗
X@larryrhodensd ↗ Campaign
Running statewide
South Dakota · Governor
Roster checked Sep 29, 2026.
The campaign · in their wordsgovernorlarryrhoden.com · read Oct 19, 2026 ↗
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's own site, unedited. 13 pages read.
Where They Stand
Statement estimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words, on the same scale as a member’s record.
Overall
from 6 statements
Right
Issue · by emphasisLeftCenterRightReadTalks about
Odds over time · Kalshi daily closes
Rhoden (R) — 98%Ahlers (D) — 2%
The race · South Dakota Governor · 7 days out
Larry RhodenRepublican · incumbent · Right 36 from statements98%
Dan AhlersDemocrat · challenger · L-lean 22 from statements2%3622
59 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
In their own words
“The first bill I signed as Governor banned Sanctuary Cities”
“South Dakota is the best state in America for the 2nd Amendment.”
“we sent National Guard troops to the border to help Border Patrol”
On the ballot with them · South Dakota, Nov 3, 2026
SD Senate
Mike Rounds (R) · 95%
vs. Brian Bengs (I) · 5%
SD-AL · open seat
Marty Jackley (R) · 96%
vs. Nikki Gronli (D) · 4%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll

Larry Rhoden
Candidate · Governor · South Dakota
Republican · Incumbent98%
Party to win · Kalshi
▲ 1 pts since April
7
Days to Nov 3
vs. Ahlers (D)
The campaign · in their wordsRead Oct 19, 2026 ↗
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's site, unedited · governorlarryrhoden.com
Where They Stand
EstimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words.
Issue · by emphasisRead · talks about
ImmigrationRight 45
Right, 45 points from center
GunsRight 45
Right, 45 points from center
EducationRight 33
Right, 33 points from center
Business and laborRight 33
Right, 33 points from center
Crime and justiceRight 24
Right, 24 points from center
Health careRight 30
Right, 30 points from center
Civil rightsRight 30
Right, 30 points from center
TradeL·Cntr 8
L·Cntr, 8 points from center
Budget and taxesRt-lean 18
Rt-lean, 18 points from center
Odds over time · Kalshi
Rhoden 98%Ahlers 2%
The race · SD Governor · 7 days out
Larry RhodenRepublican · incumbent · Right 36 from statements98%
Dan AhlersDemocrat · challenger · L-lean 22 from statements2%3622
Hollow = estimate from statements · solid = voting record
In their own words
“The first bill I signed as Governor banned Sanctuary Cities”
“South Dakota is the best state in America for the 2nd Amendment.”
“we sent National Guard troops to the border to help Border Patrol”
On the ballot with them · South Dakota
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll