
Dan Ahlers
Candidate · Governor · South Dakota
Democrat · Challenger2%
Party to win · Kalshi, Oct 27, 2026
▲ 1 pts since April
Running for
OfficeGovernor
SeatSouth Dakota, statewide
AgainstLarry Rhoden (R), incumbent
ElectionNov 3, 2026 · 7 days
StandingChallenger
BallotDirectory listing
Links
Websitedanahlers.com ↗
X@ahlers_dan ↗ Campaign
Running statewide
South Dakota · Governor
Roster checked Sep 29, 2026. Listed as: Ex-State Sen., Ex-State Rep., SDDEM Exec Director & '20 US Sen Nominee.
The campaign · in their wordsdanahlers.com · read Oct 19, 2026 ↗
Plank 1 · campaign site
BUILDING BACK RURAL SOUTH DAKOTA
“Invest in Main Street businesses and local economies that are the backbone of rural communities.”
Plank 2 · campaign site
STRONG EDUCATION
“Recruit and retain great teachers in classrooms across the state.”
Plank 3 · campaign site
AFFORDABLE HOUSING
“Support local solutions to increase housing availability in both rural and growing communities.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's own site, unedited. 22 pages read.
Where They Stand
Statement estimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words, on the same scale as a member’s record.
Overall
from 4 statements
L-lean
Issue · by emphasisLeftCenterRightReadTalks about
Odds over time · Kalshi daily closes
Rhoden (R) — 98%Ahlers (D) — 2%
The race · South Dakota Governor · 7 days out
Larry RhodenRepublican · incumbent · Right 36 from statements98%
Dan AhlersDemocrat · challenger · L-lean 22 from statements2%3622
59 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
In their own words
“Recruit and retain great teachers in classrooms across the state.”
“Every South Dakotan deserves access to affordable, quality healthcare.”
“Keep rural healthcare accessible and invest heavily in public education”
On the ballot with them · South Dakota, Nov 3, 2026
SD Senate
Mike Rounds (R) · 95%
vs. Brian Bengs (I) · 5%
SD-AL · open seat
Marty Jackley (R) · 96%
vs. Nikki Gronli (D) · 4%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll

Dan Ahlers
Candidate · Governor · South Dakota
Democrat · Challenger2%
Party to win · Kalshi
▲ 1 pts since April
7
Days to Nov 3
vs. Rhoden (R), inc.
The campaign · in their wordsRead Oct 19, 2026 ↗
“FOR A BRIGHTER SOUTH DAKOTA”
Plank 1
BUILDING BACK RURAL SOUTH DAKOTA
“Invest in Main Street businesses and local economies that are the backbone of rural communities.”
Plank 2
STRONG EDUCATION
“Recruit and retain great teachers in classrooms across the state.”
Plank 3
AFFORDABLE HOUSING
“Support local solutions to increase housing availability in both rural and growing communities.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's site, unedited · danahlers.com
Where They Stand
EstimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words.
Issue · by emphasisRead · talks about
EducationLeft 23
Left, 23 points from center
Energy and landL-lean 18
L-lean, 18 points from center
Health careLeft 23
Left, 23 points from center
TradeLeft 28
Left, 28 points from center
Odds over time · Kalshi
Rhoden 98%Ahlers 2%
The race · SD Governor · 7 days out
Larry RhodenRepublican · incumbent · Right 36 from statements98%
Dan AhlersDemocrat · challenger · L-lean 22 from statements2%3622
Hollow = estimate from statements · solid = voting record
In their own words
“Recruit and retain great teachers in classrooms across the state.”
“Every South Dakotan deserves access to affordable, quality healthcare.”
“Keep rural healthcare accessible and invest heavily in public education”
On the ballot with them · South Dakota
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll