Kelly Ayotte
Candidate · Governor · New Hampshire
Republican · Incumbent94%
Party to win · Kalshi, Oct 27, 2026
▲ 20 pts since April
Running for
OfficeGovernor
SeatNew Hampshire, statewide
AgainstCinde Warmington (D)
ElectionNov 3, 2026 · 7 days
StandingIncumbent
BallotDirectory listing
Links
Websitekellyfornh.com ↗
X@KellyAyotte ↗ Campaign
Running statewide
New Hampshire · Governor
Roster checked Sep 29, 2026.
Where They Stand
Statement estimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words, on the same scale as a member’s record.
Overall
from 5 statements
Right
Issue · by emphasisLeftCenterRightReadTalks about
Odds over time · Kalshi daily closes
Ayotte (R) — 94%Warmington (D) — 6%
The race · New Hampshire Governor · 7 days out
Kelly AyotteRepublican · incumbent · Right 26 from statements94%
Cinde WarmingtonDemocrat · challenger · Left 27 from statements6%2627
53 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
In their own words
“increased penalties for refusing DUI testing”
“finally ending the failed bail reform experiment”
“Reversed the cuts to the Group II retirement program”
On the ballot with them · New Hampshire, Nov 3, 2026
NH Senate · open seat
Chris Pappas (D) · 90%
vs. John Sununu (R) · 11%
NH-1 · open seat
Stefany Shaheen (D) · 96%
vs. Anthony DiLorenzo (R) · 3%
NH-2
Maggie Goodlander (D) · 98%
vs. Lily Tang Williams (R) · 4%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll
Kelly Ayotte
Candidate · Governor · New Hampshire
Republican · Incumbent94%
Party to win · Kalshi
▲ 20 pts since April
7
Days to Nov 3
vs. Warmington (D)
Where They Stand
EstimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words.
Issue · by emphasisRead · talks about
Crime and justiceRight 31
Right, 31 points from center
Energy and landRt-lean 12
Rt-lean, 12 points from center
EducationMixed
Mixed
Budget and taxesRight 23
Right, 23 points from center
ImmigrationRight 30
Right, 30 points from center
Odds over time · Kalshi
Ayotte 94%Warmington 6%
The race · NH Governor · 7 days out
Kelly AyotteRepublican · incumbent · Right 26 from statements94%Cinde WarmingtonDemocrat · challenger · Left 27 from statements6%2627
Hollow = estimate from statements · solid = voting record
In their own words
“increased penalties for refusing DUI testing”
“finally ending the failed bail reform experiment”
“Reversed the cuts to the Group II retirement program”
On the ballot with them · New Hampshire
NH Senate · open seatPappas (D) vs. Sununu (R)90% · 11%NH-1 · open seatShaheen (D) vs. DiLorenzo (R)96% · 3%NH-2Goodlander (D) vs. Williams (R)98% · 4%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll