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U.S. House · New Hampshire · Nov 3 · 7 days out

New Hampshire House, district 1

Stefany Shaheen (Democrat) against Anthony DiLorenzo (Republican).

Stefany Shaheen
Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 34
96%party to win
vs.
Anthony DiLorenzo
Republican · challenger · estimate Right 35
3%party to win

Where they stand · 69 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

Stefany ShaheenestimateAnthony DiLorenzoestimate
Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart
Overall
3435
69 pts

Money

FEC to Sep 30
RaisedShaheen
$3MDiLorenzo
$5.1MItemized, named donorsShaheen
$2.2MDiLorenzo
$699kNamed donorsShaheen
1,801DiLorenzo
332Itemized from New HampshireShaheen
43%DiLorenzo
74%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“I will always and tirelessly fight for both.” Shaheen · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗

“Government’s job is not to make life harder for the people creating jobs... Its job is to get out of the way” DiLorenzo · X post · May 29 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
Stefany ShaheenKalshiDemocrat wins95%95%95%$7,658Open ↗
Stefany ShaheenPolymarketDemocrat wins96%97%96%$37,472Open ↗
Anthony DiLorenzoKalshiRepublican wins3%6%5%$12,909Open ↗
Anthony DiLorenzoPolymarketRepublican wins2%4%3%$16,274Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the New Hampshire ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll