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U.S. Senate · New Hampshire · Nov 3 · 7 days out
New Hampshire Senate
Chris Pappas (Democrat) against John Sununu (Republican). Pappas is up 6 points on the markets since April.
Where they stand · 40 points apart
Sununu is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Chris PappasrecordJohn Sununuestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedPappas$21.5MSununu$5.3MItemized, named donorsPappas$12MSununu$2.4MNamed donorsPappas13,846Sununu1,719Itemized from New HampshirePappas21%Sununu29%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“I’ve never met the guy either. But I know New Hampshire is paying the price for his incompetence and corruption. We can do so much better than a failed former senator who feigns concern two weeks before the election.” Pappas · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
“was in favor of raising the gas tax” Sununu · X post · Mar 12 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Pappas | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 89% | 90% | 90% | $700,229 | Open ↗ |
| Chris Pappas | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 91% | 92% | 91% | $234,132 | Open ↗ |
| John Sununu | Kalshi | Republican wins | 10% | 11% | 11% | $1,727,574 | Open ↗ |
| John Sununu | Polymarket | Republican wins | 8% | 9% | 9% | $212,965 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the New Hampshire ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll