Josh Shapiro
Candidate · Governor · Pennsylvania
Democrat · Incumbent98%
Party to win · Kalshi, Oct 27, 2026
▲ 3 pts since April
Running for
OfficeGovernor
SeatPennsylvania, statewide
AgainstStacy Garrity (R)
ElectionNov 3, 2026 · 7 days
StandingIncumbent
BallotDirectory listing
Links
Websitejoshshapiro.org ↗
X@joshshapiropa ↗ Campaign
Running statewide
Pennsylvania · Governor
Roster checked Sep 29, 2026.
Where They Stand
Statement estimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words, on the same scale as a member’s record.
Overall
from 6 statements
Left
Issue · by emphasisLeftCenterRightReadTalks about
Odds over time · Kalshi daily closes
Shapiro (D) — 98%Garrity (R) — 3%
The race · Pennsylvania Governor · 7 days out
Josh ShapiroDemocrat · incumbent · Left 25 from statements98%
Stacy GarrityRepublican · challenger · Right 23 from statements3%2523
48 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
Money · Pennsylvania Department of State through Sep 14, 2026
$53.6M
Raised
Named donors · gifts over $50
$36M
Itemized
26,054
Named donors
42%
Itemized from Pennsylvania
By occupation
$13M
$4.7M
$3.1M
$3.1M
$2.6M
By state
$15M
$5.7M
$4.9M
$1.9M
$1.8M
Pennsylvania Department of State names only donors who give over $50, so smaller gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“secured funding for nearly 2,000 more law enforcement officers”
“when a police officer does something wrong, we hold them accountable, as well.”
“secured over $880 million to address and prevent violence in our communities — focusing on community-based programs”
On the ballot with them · Pennsylvania, Nov 3, 2026
PA-1
Brian Fitzpatrick (R) · 56%
vs. Bob Harvie (D) · 45%
PA-2
Brendan Boyle (D) · 97%
vs. Jessica Arriaga (R) · 2%
PA-3 · open seat
Chris Rabb (D) · 98%
1 on file
PA-4
Madeleine Dean (D) · 95%
vs. Aurora Stuski (R) · 4%
PA-5
Mary Gay Scanlon (D) · 97%
vs. Nick Manganaro (R) · 2%
PA-6
Chrissy Houlahan (D) · 95%
vs. Marty Young (R) · 4%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll
Josh Shapiro
Candidate · Governor · Pennsylvania
Democrat · Incumbent98%
Party to win · Kalshi
▲ 3 pts since April
7
Days to Nov 3
vs. Garrity (R)
Where They Stand
EstimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words.
Issue · by emphasisRead · talks about
Crime and justiceL-lean 13
L-lean, 13 points from center
Health careLeans left
Leans left
Budget and taxesMixed
Mixed
ImmigrationLeft 23
Left, 23 points from center
EducationLeans left
Leans left
Business and laborRt-lean 18
Rt-lean, 18 points from center
Housing and techL-lean 18
L-lean, 18 points from center
Civil rightsLeft 28
Left, 28 points from center
Energy and landL-lean 13
L-lean, 13 points from center
Foreign policyL-lean 18
L-lean, 18 points from center
Odds over time · Kalshi
Shapiro 98%Garrity 3%
The race · PA Governor · 7 days out
Josh ShapiroDemocrat · incumbent · Left 25 from statements98%Stacy GarrityRepublican · challenger · Right 23 from statements3%2523
Hollow = estimate from statements · solid = voting record
Money · Pennsylvania Department of State through Sep 14, 2026
Raised, 2026
Itemized · gifts over $50
Named donors
Pennsylvania Department of State names only donors who give over $50, so smaller gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“secured funding for nearly 2,000 more law enforcement officers”
“when a police officer does something wrong, we hold them accountable, as well.”
“secured over $880 million to address and prevent violence in our communities — focusing on community-based programs”
On the ballot with them · Pennsylvania
PA-1Fitzpatrick (R) vs. Harvie (D)56% · 45%PA-2Boyle (D) vs. Arriaga (R)97% · 2%PA-3 · open seatRabb (D)98%PA-4Dean (D) vs. Stuski (R)95% · 4%PA-5Scanlon (D) vs. Manganaro (R)97% · 2%PA-6Houlahan (D) vs. Young (R)95% · 4%
All 18 Pennsylvania races →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll