Aaron Flint
Candidate · U.S. House · Montana
Republican · Challenger56%
Party to win · Kalshi, Oct 27, 2026
Running for
OfficeU.S. House
SeatMontana, district 1
AgainstSam Forstag (D)
ElectionNov 3, 2026 · 7 days
StandingChallenger
BallotDirectory listing
Links
The district
MT-1 · Montana
Roster checked Sep 29, 2026. Listed as: Radio Show Host, Retired Army Officer & Afghan War Veteran.
The campaign · in their wordsflintformontana.com · read Oct 19, 2026 ↗
Plank 1 · campaign site
Secure Borders and Safe Communities
“We can never go back to the failed immigration policies of the Biden administration that put our communities at risk.”
Plank 2 · campaign site
Making Montana Affordable Again
Plank 3 · campaign site
Jobs
“We need people harvesting trees and developing critical minerals again.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's own site, unedited. 52 pages read.
Where They Stand
Statement estimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words, on the same scale as a member’s record.
Overall
from 8 statements
Right
Issue · by emphasisLeftCenterRightReadTalks about
The race · Montana House, district 1 · 7 days out
Aaron FlintRepublican · challenger · Right 38 from statements56%
Sam ForstagDemocrat · challenger · Left 36 from statements45%3836
73 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
$2.6M
Raised
$1.7M
From individuals
Named donors · gifts over $200
$1.3M
Itemized · 75% of individual
1,319
Named donors
52%
Itemized from Montana
By occupation
$446k
$366k
$44k
$35k
$34k
By state
$678k
$78k
$77k
$66k
$60k
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“spoken out in support of Sen. @TimSheehyMT ‘s crackdown on H1Bs.”
“praised the Trump Admin for reducing legal migration from majority Muslim nations”
“MT Dems... are still calling to defund US Immigration and Customs Enforcement. CRAZY!”
On the ballot with them · Montana, Nov 3, 2026
MT Senate · open seat
Kurt Alme (R) · 92%
vs. Seth Bodnar (I) · 8%
MT-2
Troy Downing (R) · 97%
vs. Brian Miller (D) · 3%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll
Aaron Flint
Candidate · U.S. House · Montana
Republican · Challenger56%
Party to win · Kalshi
Oct 27, 2026 snapshot
7
Days to Nov 3
vs. Forstag (D)
The campaign · in their wordsRead Oct 19, 2026 ↗
Plank 1
Secure Borders and Safe Communities
“We can never go back to the failed immigration policies of the Biden administration that put our communities at risk.”
Plank 2
Making Montana Affordable Again
Plank 3
Jobs
“We need people harvesting trees and developing critical minerals again.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's site, unedited · flintformontana.com
Where They Stand
EstimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words.
Issue · by emphasisRead · talks about
ImmigrationRight 45
Right, 45 points from center
Budget and taxesRight 43
Right, 43 points from center
Energy and landRight 34
Right, 34 points from center
TradeLeft 23
Left, 23 points from center
GunsRight 45
Right, 45 points from center
Crime and justiceRight 29
Right, 29 points from center
Civil rightsRight 29
Right, 29 points from center
Business and laborRight 33
Right, 33 points from center
The race · MT-1 · 7 days out
Aaron FlintRepublican · challenger · Right 38 from statements56%Sam ForstagDemocrat · challenger · Left 36 from statements45%3836
Hollow = estimate from statements · solid = voting record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
Raised, 2026
From individuals
Itemized · 75% of individual
Named donors
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“spoken out in support of Sen. @TimSheehyMT ‘s crackdown on H1Bs.”
“praised the Trump Admin for reducing legal migration from majority Muslim nations”
“MT Dems... are still calling to defund US Immigration and Customs Enforcement. CRAZY!”
On the ballot with them · Montana
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll