U.S. House · Utah · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Utah House, district 2

Blake Moore (Republican, incumbent) against Peter Crosby (Democrat).

Blake Moore

Republican · incumbent · record Rt-lean 17

95%party to win

vs.

Peter Crosby

Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 29

2%party to win

Where they stand · 46 points apart

Crosby is an estimate

Solid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.

Blake MoorerecordPeter Crosbyestimate

Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart

Overall

1729

46 pts

Health care

1535

50 pts ▸

Housing, transportation, technology and vice

1733

50 pts ▸

Federal budget, taxes and spending

1923

41 pts ▸

Energy, environment, land and agriculture

1723

40 pts ▸

Education

2018

38 pts ▸

Money

FEC to Sep 30

RaisedMoore

$2.7MCrosby

$138kItemized, named donorsMoore

$1MCrosby

$81kNamed donorsMoore

448Crosby

118Itemized from UtahMoore

50%Crosby

97%

The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“Fighting for Utah Families”

“Time to put those signs back up! 🇺🇸 Let’s go!” Moore · X post · Oct 2 · ↗

“The Voice for Northern Utah”

“I want to: Hold corporations accountable for their usage and deployment of AI.” Crosby · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4

Candidate	Platform	Contract	Bid	Ask	Last	Volume
Blake Moore	Kalshi	Republican wins	95%	96%	96%	$7,989	Open ↗
Blake Moore	Polymarket	Republican wins	94%	95%	95%	$12,948	Open ↗
Peter Crosby	Kalshi	Democrat wins	3%	5%	5%	$9,148	Open ↗
Peter Crosby	Polymarket	Democrat wins	2%	6%	2%	$20,053	Open ↗

Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.

Also on the Utah ballot

House · UT-1

McAdams (D) 98% · Owen (R) 2%

House · UT-3

Maloy (R) 94% · Udell (D) 4%

House · UT-4

Kennedy (R) 96% · Larsen (D) 3%

Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll