U.S. House · Utah · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Utah House, district 1

Ben McAdams (Democrat) against Riley Owen (Republican).

Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 29

98%party to win

vs.

Republican · challenger · estimate L-lean 21

2%party to win

Where they stand · 8 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

Ben McAdamsestimateRiley Owenestimate

Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart

Overall

2921

8 pts

Foreign policy, trade and defense

2013

8 pts ▸

Housing, transportation, technology and vice

2823

5 pts ▸

Trade and industrial policy

2018

3 pts ▸

Civil rights, gender and religion

2828

0 pts ▸

FEC to Sep 30

RaisedMcAdams

$2.7MOwen

$150kItemized, named donorsMcAdams

$2MOwen

$99kNamed donorsMcAdams

1,210Owen

54Itemized from UtahMcAdams

76%Owen

58%

The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

Campaign sites and X

“I will proudly sponsor these bills and work to pass them into law.” McAdams · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

“Congress needs to make protections permanent and universal for every child.” Owen · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4

Candidate	Platform	Contract	Bid	Ask	Last	Volume
Ben McAdams	Kalshi	Democrat wins	95%	98%	98%	$7,768	Open ↗
Ben McAdams	Polymarket	Democrat wins	95%	98%	98%	$13,741	Open ↗
Riley Owen	Kalshi	Republican wins	2%	5%	5%	$5,417	Open ↗
Riley Owen	Polymarket	Republican wins	2%	4%	2%	$40,197	Open ↗

Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.

Also on the Utah ballot

House · UT-2

House · UT-3

House · UT-4

Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll