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U.S. House · Pennsylvania · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Pennsylvania House, district 15
Glenn "GT" Thompson (Republican, incumbent) against Ray Bilger (Democrat).
Where they stand · 35 points apart
Bilger is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Glenn "GT" ThompsonrecordRay Bilgerestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedThompson$2.1MBilger$211kItemized, named donorsThompson$707kBilger$127kNamed donorsThompson512Bilger176Itemized from PennsylvaniaThompson54%Bilger90%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Building on Success”
“Courage, Integrity, Service.”
“defending Medicare and Medicaid” Bilger · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glenn "GT" Thompson | Kalshi | Republican wins | 94% | 96% | 95% | $8,909 | Open ↗ |
| Glenn "GT" Thompson | Polymarket | Republican wins | 95% | 95% | 95% | $9,972 | Open ↗ |
| Ray Bilger | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 4% | 7% | 5% | $5,255 | Open ↗ |
| Ray Bilger | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 2% | 6% | 6% | $20,851 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Pennsylvania ballot
All 17 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll