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U.S. Senate · Oklahoma · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Oklahoma Senate
Kevin Hern (Republican) against N'Kiyla Thomas (Democrat).
Where they stand · 62 points apart
Thomas is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Kevin HernrecordN'Kiyla Thomasestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedHern$10.8MThomas$107kItemized, named donorsHern$1.1MThomas$43kNamed donorsHern683Thomas79Itemized from OklahomaHern46%Thomas85%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“America First. Oklahoma Proud.”
“Establish Medicare for All to guarantee universal healthcare coverage for every American” Thomas · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Hern | Kalshi | Republican wins | 97% | 98% | 98% | $23,037 | Open ↗ |
| Kevin Hern | Polymarket | Republican wins | 97% | 99% | 98% | $20,685 | Open ↗ |
| N'Kiyla Thomas | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 3% | 3% | 3% | $29,835 | Open ↗ |
| N'Kiyla Thomas | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 1% | 2% | 1% | $7,568 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Oklahoma ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll