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Governor · Oklahoma · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Oklahoma Governor

Mike Mazzei (Republican) against Cyndi Munson (Democrat). Munson is up 8 points on the markets since April.

Mike Mazzei
Republican · challenger · estimate Right 42
89%▼ 3 since April
vs.
Cyndi Munson
Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 32
12%▲ 8 since April
100%90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%MAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTTODAY
100%75%50%25%0%MAYJUNJULAUGSEPTODAY
Party to win · Kalshi daily close, Oct 27All market contracts ▸

Where they stand · 74 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

Mike MazzeiestimateCyndi Munsonestimate
Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart
Overall
4232
74 pts

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“A proven leader focused on lowering costs, fixing what's broken, and making life better for Oklahoma families.”

“No sanctuary cities in Oklahoma. Declared or otherwise.” Mazzei · X post · Oct 6 · ↗

“She will make it a top priority as Governor to raise the minimum wage for all Oklahomans” Munson · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
Mike MazzeiKalshiRepublican wins87%88%89%$86,020Open ↗
Mike MazzeiPolymarketRepublican wins87%89%92%$59,014Open ↗
Cyndi MunsonKalshiDemocrat wins11%12%12%$276,632Open ↗
Cyndi MunsonPolymarketDemocrat wins11%12%11%$53,663Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Oklahoma ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll