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U.S. Senate · North Carolina · Nov 3 · 7 days out
North Carolina Senate
Roy Cooper (Democrat) against Michael Whatley (Republican). Cooper is up 12 points on the markets since April.
Where they stand · 57 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Roy CooperestimateMichael Whatleyestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedCooper$47.2MWhatley$13.4MItemized, named donorsCooper$11MWhatley$4.8MNamed donorsCooper16,057Whatley6,435Itemized from North CarolinaCooper48%Whatley44%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roy Cooper | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 97% | 97% | 97% | $1,669,004 | Open ↗ |
| Roy Cooper | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 96% | 98% | 98% | $133,397 | Open ↗ |
| Michael Whatley | Kalshi | Republican wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | $2,308,072 | Open ↗ |
| Michael Whatley | Polymarket | Republican wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | $131,005 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the North Carolina ballot
All 14 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll