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U.S. House · North Carolina · Nov 3 · 7 days out
North Carolina House, district 5
Virginia Foxx (Republican, incumbent) against Chuck Hubbard (Democrat).
Where they stand · 52 points apart
Hubbard is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Virginia FoxxrecordChuck Hubbardestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedFoxx$2.1MHubbard$793kItemized, named donorsFoxx$1.4MHubbard$334kNamed donorsFoxx665Hubbard557Itemized from North CarolinaFoxx49%Hubbard70%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“A Proven Fighter for North Carolina's Conservative Values”
“For Epstein’s victims, accountability will prevail. My latest op-ed in the Greensboro News & Record:” Foxx · X post · Oct 4 · ↗
“In Congress, I’ll fight against any attacks on these programs.” Hubbard · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Foxx | Kalshi | Republican wins | 87% | 89% | 87% | $3,994 | Open ↗ |
| Virginia Foxx | Polymarket | Republican wins | 85% | 87% | 85% | $31,568 | Open ↗ |
| Chuck Hubbard | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 12% | 14% | 14% | $2,801 | Open ↗ |
| Chuck Hubbard | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 13% | 15% | 14% | $17,715 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the North Carolina ballot
All 14 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll